Read the following materials on ensemble forecasting as mentioned in the video:

 

https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/focus/2017/fact-sheet-ensemble-weather-forecasting

 

https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=7773

 

https://www.encyclopedie-environnement.org/en/air-en/overall-forecast/

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ensemble_forecasting

 

There was a group project in the CUHK ESSC4602 2022 summer course, which was also mentioned in CPAS’ 15 minute talk in the Joint WRF/MPAS Users’ Workshop 2023 in Youtube video

 

https://youtu.be/NPeMXU5sODQ

 

(First 15 minutes)

 

Under an individual learning setting in a massive open online course (MOOC) like this one, unfortunately you may not be coordinated to have group projects. If you have your favourite model and run it periodically (e.g. running a 5-day forecast model daily), you may actually have a poor man’s time-tagged mini-ensemble. Assess the variability of the outcoming forecast and you may have preliminary feelings of ensemble forecasting.

Previous   Continue